BY ROBERT FREEDMAN
Whenever chief executives of important organizations speak publicly you can bet their remarks are heavily scripted to ensure only market-tested messages get out. That’s why it was so refreshing to sit in on remarks made by Freddie Mac Chairman and CEO Richard Syron the other day.
He spoke before a few hundred politically active REALTORS who were in Washington, D.C., Feb. 5, to learn about today’s key federal real estate issues and get pointers on grassroots activism.
Syron spoke without notes — always a good sign that things might get interesting — and stayed to answer a few questions.
The upshot of his remarks is that we’re in a new kind of housing downturn this time around. Without mincing words, he said we’re probably in the worst housing crisis in the last 80 years because the cause of the crisis has novel components to it.
First is China’s role as the world’s largest emerging market, which has been exporting huge amounts of capital into financial markets while at the same time exporting huge amounts of low-cost labor. Thus, you have unprecedented liquidity (from its capital exports) in an environment of low inflation (from its labor exports).
Second is the securitization boom, which married the creation of novel mortgage financing instruments with a market of hungry investors worldwide.
Those two trends are the ones Syron says are novel to this downturn. Two other components —
Continue reading "Candid Remarks on Housing From an Executive Who Knows" »